NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 28, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 30 | 6 | 66.7% | 1 | 34.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 27 | 6 | 60.0% | 2 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 26 | 6 | 57.8% | 3 | 29.8 | 3 |
| 4 | Gavin Gray | 24 | 6 | 53.3% | 4 | 26.6 | 4 |
| 5 | Andrew Moeller | 23 | 6 | 51.1% | 5 | 25.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 21 | 6 | 46.7% | 6 | 23.9 | 7 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 21 | 6 | 46.7% | 6 | 23.4 | 8 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 21 | 6 | 46.7% | 6 | 24.3 | 6 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 17 | 6 | 37.8% | 9 | 20.2 | 9 |
| 10 | Dan Ellenberger | 16 | 6 | 35.6% | 10 | 17.7 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 14.7 | NO | 0.72 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 11.0 | PIT | 0.61 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | 8.4 | HOU | 0.64 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 12 | 13.3 | CIN | 0.54 |
| New York Giants | 8 | 8.9 | IND | 0.69 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 7.8 | MIA | 0.46 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 11 | 12.4 | LV | 0.69 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 9 | 10.5 | LA | 0.72 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 6.9 | WAS | 0.41 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 11 | 12.0 | BUF | 0.46 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 7.9 | BAL | 0.39 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 6.7 | PHI | 0.28 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 13.1 | GB | 0.38 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 7.7 | CLE | 0.59 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 4.4 | ATL | 0.38 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 8.0 | CHI | 0.70 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 8.1 | CAR | 0.61 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 7.3 | DAL | 0.18 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 12.7 | TEN | 0.82 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 7.0 | TB | 0.39 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 4.6 | NYG | 0.31 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 12 | 13.6 | DEN | 0.87 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 6.7 | SF | 0.31 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 3.6 | DET | 0.30 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 9.1 | NE | 0.54 |
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 8.2 | MIN | 0.62 |
| Houston Texans | 2 | 2.9 | JAX | 0.36 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 7 | 7.7 | SEA | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 5.7 | LAC | 0.28 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 4.3 | KC | 0.13 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 12 | 1 | 13 | -1 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 8 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 9 | 8 | 10 | -1 | 3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 11 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 21 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 11 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 19 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 12 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 16 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 4 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 5 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 2 | 26 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 3 | 12 | -7 | 22 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 13 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| New York Jets | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
Draft Results
